Score predictions for the next matches
The most likely final score for the next matches in the Season Hub leagues. Each score comes from a Poisson model of both clubs' home or away scoring and conceding this season, measured against the league's average. The percentage is the chance of that exact score. Even the most likely score in a match rarely passes one in five, so treat it as the model's single best guess, not a result to bank on. Kick-off times are UK time.
Friday 9 October
- West Ham v QPR — 20:00, Championship
Most likely score 1–1 (10% chance) · expected goals 1.9–1.2
Saturday 10 October
- Arsenal v Leeds — 12:30, Premier League
Most likely score 0–1 (14% chance) · expected goals 1.0–1.0 - West Brom v Birmingham — 12:30, Championship
Most likely score 1–0 (14% chance) · expected goals 1.2–1.0 - Swansea v Norwich — 12:30, Championship
Most likely score 1–0 (14% chance) · expected goals 1.7–0.8 - Charlton v Bristol City — 12:30, Championship
Most likely score 1–0 (14% chance) · expected goals 1.3–0.9 - Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon — 12:30, League One
Most likely score 1–0 (11% chance) · expected goals 1.8–1.0 - Notts County v Oxford United — 12:30, League One
Most likely score 1–1 (12% chance) · expected goals 1.2–1.6 - Oldham v Accrington ST — 12:30, League Two
Most likely score 1–1 (10% chance) · expected goals 1.9–1.3 - Chelsea v Bournemouth — 15:00, Premier League
Most likely score 1–1 (8% chance) · expected goals 1.9–1.9 - Ipswich v Fulham — 15:00, Premier League
Most likely score 1–1 (11% chance) · expected goals 1.5–1.6 - Aston Villa v Brentford — 15:00, Premier League
Most likely score 0–2 (13% chance) · expected goals 0.8–2.2 - Sunderland v Brighton — 15:00, Premier League
Most likely score 1–3 (8% chance) · expected goals 1.0–3.3 - Watford v Burnley — 15:00, Championship
Most likely score 2–1 (10% chance) · expected goals 2.2–1.1 - Preston v Millwall — 15:00, Championship
Most likely score 1–1 (9% chance) · expected goals 1.7–1.9 - Sheffield Utd v Lincoln — 15:00, Championship
Most likely score 0–1 (17% chance) · expected goals 0.8–1.2 - Blackburn v Cardiff — 15:00, Championship
Most likely score 1–1 (11% chance) · expected goals 1.8–1.1 - Bolton v Stoke City — 15:00, Championship
Most likely score 1–1 (11% chance) · expected goals 1.7–1.2 - Derby v Wrexham — 15:00, Championship
Most likely score 1–1 (12% chance) · expected goals 1.2–1.5 - Middlesbrough v Wolves — 15:00, Championship
Most likely score 2–2 (7% chance) · expected goals 2.4–2.1 - Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 1–1 (12% chance) · expected goals 1.6–1.3 - Leicester v Peterborough — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 1–0 (14% chance) · expected goals 1.5–0.9 - Bradford v Leyton Orient — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 0–1 (14% chance) · expected goals 0.9–1.5 - Milton Keynes Dons v Reading — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 1–0 (15% chance) · expected goals 1.0–0.9 - Doncaster v Burton Albion — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 1–1 (13% chance) · expected goals 1.3–1.1 - Wycombe v Luton — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 2–2 (7% chance) · expected goals 2.6–2.3 - Stevenage v Wigan — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 1–1 (12% chance) · expected goals 1.5–1.1 - Cambridge United v Blackpool — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 1–1 (10% chance) · expected goals 1.9–1.4 - Mansfield Town v Bromley — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 2–1 (8% chance) · expected goals 2.9–1.3 - Stockport County v Barnsley — 15:00, League One
Most likely score 1–1 (10% chance) · expected goals 2.0–1.4 - Manchester United v Tottenham — 17:30, Premier League
Most likely score 1–0 (14% chance) · expected goals 1.6–0.8
How the score predictions are made
For every match the model turns both clubs' home or away scoring and conceding this season into expected goals, measured against the league's average, with a small pull towards that average while a season is young. A Poisson model then gives a probability to every possible score, and the list shows the single most likely one with its chance. Exact scores are the hardest market in football: the most likely score in a match usually has a chance between about 7% and 17%, so most of them will not land. Read the score as the shape of the match the numbers expect, not a promise.
How the calls are made
Each fixture is graded on form, expected goals (xG), scoring and conceding records, head-to-head history and league context. Predictions are ranked so the strongest reads sit at the top, and they sharpen through the day as confirmed lineups and live data arrive. Open any match for the full breakdown, or see the AI football predictions page for how the model works and its record by market.
What the predictions cover
- Most likely scoreline and match winner for every fixture.
- Goals: over 1.5 and over 2.5 — the dedicated over/under 2.5 board adds under calls and a settled record.
- Both Teams To Score: see the BTTS board.
- First-half goals: see the first-half goal board.
A public record
Every published board pick is settled on the final score and listed on the verified results page, losses included. Read how the record is settled.
How to use them
Start with the highest-confidence picks, open a match for the underlying stats, and combine selections with the acca builder if you want bigger returns. For everything in one place, see football tips today.
Bet responsibly
Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Treat them as one input, set a budget, and never chase losses.