Today’s BBL games with Sage’s win chance and projected score, the latest settled calls, and what 1,358 games of BBL data say about the league.
Updated Friday 30 October. Times are UK time. 2 of the 5 games in the next 36 hours are free. Pro opens the rest, plus over/under and handicap reads.
| Tip-off | Game | Sage favours | Win chance | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 19:00 | Phoenix Hagen v Vechta | Phoenix Hagen | 61% | 90 – 86 |
| Sat 17:30 | Ulm v Oldenburg | Ulm | 68% | 86 – 79 |
The first settled calls will appear here as games finish.
| Measure | Since 2022-23 |
|---|---|
| Games in our data | 1,358 |
| Points a game, both teams | 168.7 |
| Home team wins | 59.8% |
| Average home margin | +2.8 points |
| Games going to overtime | 5.7% |
| Games finishing within 5 points | 24.4% |
Germany’s BBL has the highest overtime rate of these eight leagues at 5.7% of games, and at 168.7 points a game it is the second-highest scoring European league with a page here, behind the ACB.
The home lean is modest for Europe, 59.8% wins and 2.8 points a game, and only 24.4% of games finish within five. Fewer tight finishes means the stronger team more often pulls clear, which suits a ratings model.
Each number comes from team ratings built on results alone, so check team news before you rely on one. The chance is for the whole game, overtime included. The projected score is the model’s central estimate, not a forecast of the exact result. The full method and test results are on the basketball predictions page.
More: BBL table and fixtures · Sage basketball record · NBA predictions · EuroLeague predictions · EuroCup predictions · Basketball Champions League predictions
Predictions are chances, not promises, and a 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten. Only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. Help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
Yes. Every day the strongest half of the games show Sage’s win chance and projected score for free, with no account needed on this page. Pro opens the other half, plus over/under and handicap reads. Settled calls are free in full.
59.8% of the time across 1,358 games in our data since the 2022-23 season, by an average of 2.8 points.
168.7 on average, both teams combined. 5.7% of games go to overtime and 24.4% finish within five points.
No. The model works from results, so it does not know about injuries, rest or line-ups. A star sitting out will not be in the number. Check team news before you rely on any chance here.