Today’s NBA games with Sage’s win chance and projected score, the latest settled calls, and what 5,670 games of NBA data say about the league.
Public record: Sage’s favourite won 0 of 1 settled games, counted automatically since 30 October 2026. See the record
Updated Friday 30 October. Times are UK time. 6 of the 13 games in the next 36 hours are free. Pro opens the rest, plus over/under and handicap reads.
| Tip-off | Game | Sage favours | Win chance | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23:30 | Boston Celtics v Chicago Bulls | Boston Celtics | 84% | 125 – 109 |
| Fri 23:30 | Toronto Raptors v Orlando Magic | Toronto Raptors | 68% | 116 – 108 |
| Fri 23:30 | Brooklyn Nets v Detroit Pistons | Detroit Pistons | 76% | 105 – 116 |
| Sat 00:00 | Minnesota Timberwolves v Los Angeles Clippers | Minnesota Timberwolves | 64% | 115 – 109 |
| Sat 00:00 | Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets | Houston Rockets | 69% | 110 – 118 |
| Sat 19:00 | Utah Jazz v Portland Trail Blazers | Portland Trail Blazers | 64% | 113 – 119 |
| Game | Final | Sage favoured | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies | 103 – 124 | Portland Trail Blazers 72% | Lost |
Right or wrong, every call stays on the public basketball record.
| Measure | Since 2022-23 |
|---|---|
| Games in our data | 5,670 |
| Points a game, both teams | 228 |
| Home team wins | 55.5% |
| Average home margin | +2.1 points |
| Games going to overtime | 5.2% |
| Games finishing within 5 points | 25.6% |
The NBA has the smallest home lean of any competition with a prediction page here: hosts win 55.5% of the time and by only 2.1 points on average. So NBA favourites are built on team strength far more than on venue, and a strong side on the road can still come out as the likelier winner.
Scoring has barely moved in four full seasons, from 228.3 points a game in 2022-23 to 229.8 in 2025-26. Spread is the bigger story. One game in four finishes within five points, yet about one in five is decided by 20 or more, so a win chance tells you who is likelier to win and little about how close it gets.
Strong home sides do pull away from the average. Oklahoma City won 81% of 155 home games over the last three seasons and Boston 77% of 151. Sage learns that from results, game by game, and fades it again when form turns.
Each number comes from team ratings built on results alone, so check team news before you rely on one. The chance is for the whole game, overtime included. The projected score is the model’s central estimate, not a forecast of the exact result. The full method and test results are on the basketball predictions page.
More: NBA 2026-27 season numbers · NBA table and fixtures · Sage basketball record · EuroLeague predictions · EuroCup predictions · Basketball Champions League predictions · Liga ACB predictions
Predictions are chances, not promises, and a 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten. Only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. Help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
Yes. Every day the strongest half of the games show Sage’s win chance and projected score for free, with no account needed on this page. Pro opens the other half, plus over/under and handicap reads. Settled calls are free in full.
55.5% of the time across 5,670 games in our data since the 2022-23 season, by an average of 2.1 points.
228 on average, both teams combined. 5.2% of games go to overtime and 25.6% finish within five points.
No. The model works from results, so it does not know about injuries, rest or line-ups. A star sitting out will not be in the number. Check team news before you rely on any chance here.