Today’s Lega A games with Sage’s win chance and projected score, the latest settled calls, and what 1,097 games of Lega A data say about the league.
Updated Friday 30 October. Times are UK time. 2 of the 3 games in the next 36 hours are free. Pro opens the rest, plus over/under and handicap reads.
| Tip-off | Game | Sage favours | Win chance | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 19:00 | BC Roma v Scafati | BC Roma | 81% | 93 – 82 |
| Sat 19:00 | Verona v Varese | Verona | 65% | 90 – 85 |
The first settled calls will appear here as games finish.
| Measure | Since 2022-23 |
|---|---|
| Games in our data | 1,097 |
| Points a game, both teams | 167 |
| Home team wins | 61.8% |
| Average home margin | +3.6 points |
| Games going to overtime | 4.8% |
| Games finishing within 5 points | 29.7% |
Italy’s Lega A has one of the stronger home leans in Europe: 61.8% wins across 1,097 games, by 3.6 points on average. Only the EuroLeague is higher among the leagues with a page here.
It is also close. Nearly three games in ten (29.7%) finish within five points, so favourites here are often less comfortable than their win chance suggests. Scoring sits at 167.0 points a game.
Each number comes from team ratings built on results alone, so check team news before you rely on one. The chance is for the whole game, overtime included. The projected score is the model’s central estimate, not a forecast of the exact result. The full method and test results are on the basketball predictions page.
More: Lega A table and fixtures · Sage basketball record · NBA predictions · EuroLeague predictions · EuroCup predictions · Basketball Champions League predictions
Predictions are chances, not promises, and a 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten. Only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. Help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
Yes. Every day the strongest half of the games show Sage’s win chance and projected score for free, with no account needed on this page. Pro opens the other half, plus over/under and handicap reads. Settled calls are free in full.
61.8% of the time across 1,097 games in our data since the 2022-23 season, by an average of 3.6 points.
167 on average, both teams combined. 4.8% of games go to overtime and 29.7% finish within five points.
No. The model works from results, so it does not know about injuries, rest or line-ups. A star sitting out will not be in the number. Check team news before you rely on any chance here.